Egor Gerasimov vs Zhenxiong Dong Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• Considering recent second serve performance, Dong edges slightly ahead, securing 47.34% of points compared to Gerasimov's 46.02%. Could this marginal difference impact the match outcome? Possibly.
• Analyzing return games, Gerasimov outperforms Dong in both first and second serve returns, with Gerasimov winning 48.09% and 24.65% versus Dong’s 40.11% and 22.92%. Is this enough to give Gerasimov the upper hand? It might be crucial.
• Under pressure, break point saves reveal Gerasimov as more resilient, saving 63.91% of breakpoints versus Dong’s 60.34%. This could be decisive in high-stakes moments.
• Looking at overall performance in the last year, Dong has a better win record, achieving a 47.17% win rate against Gerasimov’s 42.11%. Is Dong more consistent? The numbers suggest so.
• Examining career performance by surface, Dong favors hard courts with a 51% win, while Gerasimov is strongest on indoor hard courts, holding a 61% win record.
• In terms of competition level, Dong participates mostly in lower-tier events with a higher win rate (51.06%) compared to Gerasimov’s performance in more challenging events (35.71%). Does event level impact their chances? Definitely.
• Opponents faced in the last year show Dong has competed against higher-ranked players (average rank 335.98) than Gerasimov (average rank 406.08), suggesting Dong has had tougher matches.
• In deciding sets, Dong's superior performance (winning 67%) over Gerasimov (53%) could be pivotal if the match is tightly contested.
• In breakpoint conversion, Gerasimov is more adept, converting 36% of opportunities, compared to Dong’s lower 15.15%. This might give Gerasimov a strong edge during crucial points.

Editorial Prediction (June 12, 2025, UTC):

Assessing the second serve performance, Dong appears slightly more proficient, but the impact is marginally negligible.

Gerasimov's superior return game and breakpoint conversion rate suggest a potential advantage in dictating play and capitalizing on crucial moments.

Although Dong has a higher recent win rate and performs well under pressure in deciding sets, the quality of adversaries faced may indicate tougher challenges for Dong, potentially affecting stamina and morale.

Surface preference and event level experience provide a nuanced context, revealing that Gerasimov has been competing in more demanding matches, which could be decisive.

Taking into account all available data, Gerasimov is slightly favored to win this match due to his proficiency in returning serves and converting breakpoints.